Introduction


Figure 1

Figure from https://xkcd.com/2440. In CMS, the epistemic uncertainty is perhaps “how many unknown bugs did I introduce in my code?”
Figure from https://xkcd.com/2440. In CMS, the epistemic uncertainty is perhaps “how many unknown bugs did I introduce in my code?”

Figure 2

Breakdown of uncertainty contributions to the single lepton top pair different cross section measurement from 2016. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.08856.
Breakdown of uncertainty contributions to the single lepton top pair different cross section measurement from 2016. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.08856.

Figure 3

Distributions of m_{t\bar{t}} in the single-lepton signal regions of the 2016 Z' search that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.
Distributions of \(m_{t\bar{t}}\) in the single-lepton signal regions of the 2016 \(Z'\) search that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.

Uncertainty sources


Figure 1

Distributions of m_{t\bar{t}} in the single-lepton signal regions of the 2016 Z' search that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.
Distributions of \(m_{t\bar{t}}\) in the single-lepton signal regions of the 2016 \(Z'\) search that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.

Figure 2

Julie’s drawing of what error bars on data are trying to portray.
Julie’s drawing of what error bars on data are trying to portray.

Figure 3

Uncertainty breakdown for JES in Run 1.
Uncertainty breakdown for JES in Run 1.

Figure 4

JER scale factors with uncertainties from Run 1.
JER scale factors with uncertainties from Run 1.

Figure 5

Demonstration of fits in a muon tag-and-probe procedure
Demonstration of fits in a muon tag-and-probe procedure

Physics object corrections


Figure 1

Contents of the correction summary webpage
Contents of the correction summary webpage

Figure 2

Description of the 2016 electron correction
Description of the 2016 electron correction

Uncertainties challenge


Figure 1

Plot of the muon SF uncertainties
Plot of the muon SF uncertainties

Figure 2

Plot of the pileup reweighting uncertainties
Plot of the pileup reweighting uncertainties

Figure 3

Plot of the pileup distribution
Plot of the pileup distribution