Introduction
Figure 1

Figure from https://xkcd.com/2440. In CMS, the
epistemic uncertainty is perhaps “how many unknown bugs did I introduce
in my code?”
Figure 2
Breakdown of uncertainty contributions to the
single lepton top pair different cross section measurement from 2016.
Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.08856.
Figure 3
Distributions of \(m_{t\bar{t}}\) in the single-lepton signal
regions of the 2016 \(Z'\) search
that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.
Uncertainty sources
Figure 1
Distributions of \(m_{t\bar{t}}\) in the single-lepton signal
regions of the 2016 \(Z'\) search
that had 1 or more top-tagged jets. Figure from https://arxiv.org/pdf/1810.05905.
Figure 2

Julie’s drawing of what error bars on data are
trying to portray.
Figure 3
Uncertainty breakdown for JES in Run 1.
Figure 4
JER scale factors with uncertainties from Run
1.
Figure 5

Demonstration of fits in a muon tag-and-probe
procedure
Physics object corrections
Figure 1
Contents of the correction summary webpage
Figure 2
Description of the 2016 electron
correction
Uncertainties challenge
Figure 1
Plot of the muon SF uncertainties
Figure 2
Plot of the pileup reweighting
uncertainties
Figure 3
Plot of the pileup distribution